All right, I’m calling out to all you Seasonal Legendary Item Collectors! After buying 35 ultimate caches last season and not getting an Oberon’s Keybelt, I am curious to see exactly how the odds for getting Season 1.4’s Legendary Duskside Helm (DH) are going to play out (purportedly 5% odds for ultimate caches). If anyone is interested in playing along, feel free to post here on how many Season 1.4 caches you’ve purchased and whether you’ve won the seasonal legendary item. Feel free to update your post as the season rolls along (instead of creating a new post)!
Note: Correct me if I’m wrong, but the odds of getting at least one DH after opening 35 ultimate caches is (1-.95^35) = 83.3%
Hi, I didn’t get any seasonal legendary gear from the 4 seasons yet.
And to make this clear: if there is a real RNG behind, the chance doesn’t add up. Only if there are some rules behind like next time use another category like exclude shards the chance will increase if you open caches in sequence.
Yeah, I’m really uncertain about the RNG for the Seasonal Legendary items in this game. I’ve opened up 41 ultimate caches for Season 1.3, and still no Oberon’s Keybelt. Just to be clear… that’s 8200 seasonal currency, LOL.
Question for the developers: Can we confirm whether the game in any way limits how many Seasonal Legendary items can be rewarded?
Oh man that sucks!!! And apparently not too uncommon. Out of the 4 seasons we’ve had, one season took around 40 UCs to get the seasonal legendary, and the other season I haven’t got the seasonal legendary after 41 UCs. What are the chances of that?? Lol. I wish we could have some kind of transparency on this.
Would be nice
I’ve opened ALOT of elite season caches over the 4 seasons, well over 20 in the last season alone since I got the reward for opening 20 caches
Right now I have 0 season cache specific legendary gear pieces
It’s random chance, I get it, but it’s also quite likely now that I’ll not be able to “catch up”
Bit disappointing that there is only one way to target these gear pieces and its random chance and also its heavily time gated
I’ve blown through over 14,000 seasonal currency / ancient coin trying to get Oberon’s Keybelt, and I still haven’t gotten it. On one hand it’s annoying since the probability of this outcome is 2% [(1-0.05)^71 x 100%]. On the other hand, I realized in all those Seasonal 1.3 UCs, I got this stuff:
Epic Dreamhold Weapon x1 (Probability of 1%)
Epic Dreamhold Armor x2 (Probability of 2% each)
Epic Dreamhold Accessory x2 (Probability of 2% each)
Epic Dreamhold Spell x1 (Probability of 2%)
Out of 71 UCs, I got six items that have a probability of 2% or less… but not once did I get the legendary seasonal item which has a probability of 5%. But then I take solace in the age-old adage, “Nothing is impossible, just highly improbable.” And I wonder, just how improbable is the seasonal legendary item?